BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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W Carolina

Class: 1 Class Rank: 351 Conference: Southern Record: (2-13) Overall: (9-21) Overall Strength =   17.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    12.95  63  46   ZZ 109 (  0-  2) Bluefield St           -3.60     20.60                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    13.67  48  47    1 355 (  8- 22) Winthrop               -2.88      3.88                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L     2.66  34 107    1   5 ( 28-  2) LSU                   -13.90 *  -59.10                      
  4 11-15-2022 Away    L    23.48  67  68    1 326 ( 13- 17) Presbyterian            6.92     -7.92                      
  5 11-18-2022 Away    W    28.33  58  48    1 353 ( 11- 20) SC Upstate             11.78     -1.78                      
  6 11-23-2022 Away    L    -4.96  43  62    1 358 (  5- 25) Charleston So         -21.52      2.52                      
  7 11-28-2022 Away    L     7.71  51  64    1 349 ( 12- 19) UNC Asheville          -8.85     -4.15                      
  8 12-01-2022 Home    W    24.32  68  59    1 350 (  8- 21) Queens NC               7.76      1.24                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    L    21.80  58  71    1 189 ( 13- 16) Alabama-Birmingham      5.24    -18.24                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    28.13  49  46    1 291 ( 16- 15) Campbell               11.57     -8.57                      
 11 12-10-2022 Away    L    17.99  42  81    1  62 ( 17- 15) Clemson                 1.43 *  -40.43                      
 12 12-11-2022 Home    W    15.66  69  51   ZZ 101 (  0-  2) Montreat               -0.89     18.89                      
 13 12-19-2022 Home    L    12.03  66  74    1 321 ( 14- 15) NC Central             -4.53     -3.47                      
 14 12-21-2022 Home    L    10.96  51  60    1 329 (  5- 24) UNC Wilmington         -5.60     -3.40                      
 15 12-30-2022 Home    W    22.03  64  46   ZZ  65 (  0-  3) S Wesleyan              5.48     12.52                      
 16 01-05-2023 Away    L *  19.66  47  59    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford                 3.10    -15.10                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    L *   2.54  40  76    1 198 ( 12- 16) Mercer                -14.01    -21.99                      
 18 01-12-2023 Home    W *  36.21  53  49    1 188 ( 22-  9) Wofford                19.65    -15.65                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    L *   8.37  46  60    1 309 ( 11- 19) Furman                 -8.19     -5.81                      
 20 01-19-2023 Home    L *   1.66  59  83    1 287 ( 16- 14) UNC Greensboro        -14.90     -9.10                      
 21 01-26-2023 Away    L *   5.69  39  70    1 199 ( 23-  9) ETSU                  -10.86    -20.14                      
 22 01-28-2023 Away    W *  48.01  56  48    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga            31.45    -23.45                      
 23 02-02-2023 Home    L *   9.42  44  68    1 198 ( 12- 16) Mercer                 -7.13    -16.87                      
 24 02-04-2023 Home    L *  17.54  63  72    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford                 0.98     -9.98                      
 25 02-09-2023 Away    L *  14.49  53  66    1 309 ( 11- 19) Furman                 -2.07    -10.93                      
 26 02-11-2023 Away    L *  16.33  62  83    1 188 ( 22-  9) Wofford                -0.23    -20.77                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *  17.78  59  72    1 287 ( 16- 14) UNC Greensboro          1.22    -14.22                      
 28 02-23-2023 Home    L *  16.89  44  62    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga             0.33    -18.33                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    L *  25.57  84  90 2  1 199 ( 23-  9) ETSU                    9.02    -15.02                      
 30 03-02-2023 Neutral L *  19.77  56  71    1 188 ( 22-  9) Wofford                 3.21    -18.21                      
      Averages              16.56  54.5 65.3

Best game:   48.01 = 8 point win over Chattanooga
Worst game:  -4.96 = 19 point loss to Charleston So
Team stdev:  10.81